Demand Forecasting on Tableau, for store operations
See demand before it arrives. Ward runs it off Tableau, scoped to what a Director Store Ops owns.
Demand Forecasting on Tableau, for store operations
Managing 800 stores from a spreadsheet is insane. Ward filters to what a Director Store Ops can act on and drops the rest.
Demand Forecasting. Ward combines historical patterns, weather data, local events, and economic signals to forecast demand at the store-SKU-day level.
The mechanism. Ward builds store-level demand models incorporating seasonality, weather forecasts, promotional calendars, local events, and macroeconomic indicators.
The connection itself. Ward connects to the same databases Tableau uses. Or reads Tableau Server metadata via REST API for context.
Key capabilities
- Event and holiday modeling
- Automatic reorder point recalculation
- Store-SKU-day level precision
- Weather-driven adjustment
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled Store 37’s last 28 days against the chain baseline. Two root causes, both compounding.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
labor_efficiency | Rev/labor-hour −22% vs. cluster, staffing mismatch at 11a–1p peak |
inventory.fresh | Fresh fill 83%, backroom replenishment lag at 2–4p |
promo.lift | BOGO crackers cannibalized Brand Y by 28%, net category +6% |
Recommend: re-baseline Store 37 schedule against true peak, raise replen window to 1p, and review the BOGO before next cycle.
labor_scheduling…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
sap_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
sap_inventory_shrinkage | import | 2m ago |
sap_labor_scheduling | import | 14m ago |
retail_inventory_weekly | import | 1h ago |
retail_google_ads_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_meta_ads_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_ga4_website_daily | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
merch-read-default | permit | Model::* |
finance-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
region-west-only | permit | Tenant::"acme" |
What Ward has eyes on.
See demand before it arrives. Ward runs the model continuously rather than on a reporting cycle, which is why a finding lands the morning the pattern starts instead of at the end of the period.
The connection to Tableau is read-only and runs on your schedule. Ward ingests tableau Hyper extracts, underlying database (direct), and the rest of the feed, then joins it with external context your BI does not carry: weather, local events, competitor pricing.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
A Director Store Ops rarely logs into Tableau. They read what someone else pulled out of it, two days later. Ward removes the two days and the someone else.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: read-only connection
Ward reads from Tableau with read-only credentials and begins ingesting tableau Hyper extracts and underlying database (direct). No config changes on your side. First daily cards arrive inside the first 48 hours.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm
Findings arrive every morning and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.
How Ward connects to Tableau
Ward does not replace Tableau. Ward adds the proactive layer Tableau lacks. When a metric moves, Ward explains why and recommends action.
Setup: Ward connects to the same databases Tableau uses. Or reads Tableau Server metadata via REST API for context.
Data Ward reads from Tableau
Impact metrics with Tableau
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches Tableau data with: Tableau data sources, Underlying database, Weather & events, Competitor pricing, Customer data
Managing 800 stores from a spreadsheet is insane.
- ×Morning check-ins rely on phone calls and email chains
- ×No single view of which stores need attention today
- ×Labor scheduling is disconnected from demand signals
- ×Planogram compliance is checked manually, quarterly
- ×Exception management is reactive and inconsistent
- ✓Morning brief delivered at 06:47 with prioritized action list
- ✓Estate-wide heat map of store performance, updated hourly
- ✓Staffing recommendations correlated with predicted traffic
- ✓Planogram compliance anomalies detected and flagged
- ✓Consistent exception handling with recommended actions
Poor labor allocation and inconsistent execution cost multi-store retailers 3–5% in lost sales. Source: RSR Research
Frequently asked questions
Ward connects to the same databases Tableau uses. Or reads Tableau Server metadata via REST API for context. Data points include: Tableau Hyper extracts, Underlying database (direct), Published data source metadata.
Managing 800 stores from a spreadsheet is insane. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Morning brief delivered at 06:47 with prioritized action list. Estate-wide heat map of store performance, updated hourly. Staffing recommendations correlated with predicted traffic.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
See what demand problems Ward catches.
Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly
Find out what your data has been hiding.
Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.