Assortment Planning for Grocery on Blue Yonder, built for supply chain
Ward reads demand forecasts, replenishment recommendations, allocation plans from Blue Yonder, keeps a running read on assortment across 30,000+ grocery SKUs, and returns the supply chain read daily.
Assortment Planning for Grocery on Blue Yonder, scoped to supply chain
Assortment Planning. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.
In a Grocery & Supermarket estate the job is 30,000+ SKUs over stores. Fresh availability, shrinkage, and promo effectiveness across hundreds of stores. Ward monitors perishable turn rates and flags waste before it happens.
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward hands back insight cards scoped to supply chain decision-making.
Under the hood. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Getting the data in. Ward reads Blue Yonder outputs via API or flat file export. Compares forecasts against actuals to measure accuracy.
What you get
- Whitespace opportunity detection
- Planogram optimization inputs
- Store cluster segmentation
- SKU rationalization recommendations
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled Store 37’s last 28 days against the chain baseline. Two root causes, both compounding.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
labor_efficiency | Rev/labor-hour −22% vs. cluster, staffing mismatch at 11a–1p peak |
inventory.fresh | Fresh fill 83%, backroom replenishment lag at 2–4p |
promo.lift | BOGO crackers cannibalized Brand Y by 28%, net category +6% |
Recommend: re-baseline Store 37 schedule against true peak, raise replen window to 1p, and review the BOGO before next cycle.
labor_scheduling…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
sap_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
sap_inventory_shrinkage | import | 2m ago |
sap_labor_scheduling | import | 14m ago |
relex_replenishment_plan | import | 1h ago |
blue_yonder_forecast_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_fresh_waste_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_promo_calendar | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
merch-read-default | permit | Model::* |
lp-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
fresh-team-west | permit | Model::"fresh_waste_daily" |
Why Assortment matters for Grocery retail
Every assortment addition displaces something else, so the real question is incremental contribution after cannibalization and basket effects. Ward clusters stores by demographics, traffic, and competitive set, then benchmarks SKU performance at the cluster level to produce assortment recommendations that go beyond national planograms.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
Assortment Planning produces a lot of output that is technically correct and operationally useless to supply chain. Ward filters on whether the finding changes a decision a VP Supply Chain can actually make.
- 01 New-item performance gets evaluated against chain averages instead of cluster benchmarks, so winners in one cluster are killed because they fail in another.
- 02 Cluster definitions based on store size or banner miss the demographic signal; two same-size stores can have completely different shopper profiles.
Benchmarks. A typical grocery store carries 30,000-45,000 SKUs; the bottom 20% generate under 2% of revenue. Cluster-aware assortment usually frees 5-12% of facings without a revenue drop, which translates to space for 1,500-3,000 better-fit SKUs per store cluster.
What Ward has eyes on.
The assortment model runs daily, not on a reporting calendar. It picks up the pattern, accounts for the cause, and attaches the next step before the number reaches a review deck.
Every one of your stores gets its own baseline. Ward monitors fill rate, shrinkage %, fresh waste % against it and brings up only the deviations that hold up. The two that show up most in grocery retail are fresh waste & spoilage and on-shelf availability gaps, and both are baseline problems before they are P&L problems.
Ward ingests Blue Yonder rather than replacing it. Demand forecasts, replenishment recommendations, allocation plans come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as findings. Your Supply Chain is untouched.
At the metric level. Ward tracks SKU productivity (revenue per facing), incremental contribution, substitution patterns, and cluster-level demand elasticity, all weighted against supplier fill rates and promotional obligations.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: connect
Read-only credentials to Blue Yonder. Ward pulls from demand forecasts, replenishment recommendations, allocation plans and starts building baselines. First daily cards land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm
Findings arrive each day and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.
How Ward connects to Blue Yonder
Ward layers on top of Blue Yonder demand planning and replenishment. Ward watches what Blue Yonder recommends and flags when actual diverges from plan.
Setup: Ward reads Blue Yonder outputs via API or flat file export. Compares forecasts against actuals to measure accuracy.
Data Ward reads from Blue Yonder
Impact metrics with Blue Yonder
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches Blue Yonder data with: Demand forecasts, POS actuals, Weather & events, Supplier fill rates, Competitor data
You find out about stockouts after customers do.
- ×Demand forecasts are off by 15-25% and nobody catches it until the shelf is empty
- ×Supplier fill rate problems announce themselves at the receiving dock
- ×Safety stock levels get set once a year and left alone
- ×No early warning system for supply chain disruptions
- ×Replenishment exceptions require manual triage every morning
- ✓Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves
- ✓Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation
- ✓Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals
- ✓Weather, event, and macro-driven demand adjustments
- ✓Replenishment exceptions auto-prioritized by revenue impact
Stockouts cost retailers $1.14 trillion in missed sales globally each year. Source: IHL Group
Grocery KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Grocery retail specifically, Ward monitors 30,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Fill rate, Shrinkage %, Fresh waste %, Promo lift, Basket size at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Ward reads Blue Yonder outputs via API or flat file export. Compares forecasts against actuals to measure accuracy. Data points include: Demand forecasts, Replenishment recommendations, Allocation plans, Exception alerts.
Yes. Ward reads Blue Yonder data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Grocery-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves. Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation. Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Fill rate, Shrinkage %, Fresh waste %, tailored for Supply Chain decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks SKU productivity (revenue per facing), incremental contribution, substitution patterns, and cluster-level demand elasticity, all weighted against supplier fill rates and promotional obligations.
A category manager reviews the natural/organic section across 300 stores. Ward's analysis reveals three distinct clusters: urban health-conscious stores that should carry more SKUs, suburban stores that match the national plan, and rural locations where organic moves at a fraction of the estate average. The one-size-fits-all planogram leaves revenue on the table in urban stores while it ties up slow-moving inventory in rural ones.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
See what Grocery assortment problems Ward catches.
Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly
Find out what your data has been hiding.
Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.