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A home CFO running assortment on Epicor

Stock what sells. Cut what doesn't. Ward runs it on Epicor data over your home store base, scoped to finance.

The full picture: home assortment, Epicor data, Finance decisions

Assortment Planning is a card type Ward runs continuously. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.

A Home Improvement operator is monitoring 50,000+ SKUs across stores. Project-based purchasing, long-tail SKUs, and seasonal volatility. Ward manages the complexity of 50,000+ SKU environments with ease.

Your P&L surprises are born on the store floor. Ward writes the finding at the altitude a CFO works at.

What Ward does with that: Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.

The connection itself. Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.

What you get

  • Store cluster segmentation
  • SKU rationalization recommendations
  • Whitespace opportunity detection
  • Planogram optimization inputs
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Home @Merchandising: Seasonal Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did the spring mulch pre-build miss in the Southeast?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled the spring pre-build against the last three seasons and the weather signal for the 22 Southeast stores.

SignalFinding
seasonal_prebuildMulch on-hand hit 61% of plan the week temps broke 70°F
dc_pushDC push started 9 days after the first-warm-week trigger, LY it was 2
attach.projectSoil and edging attach fell 18% at stores that gapped on mulch

Recommend: tie the push trigger to the 10-day forecast instead of the calendar week, pre-position two truckloads at the 8 stores that gapped, and re-set the attach endcap.

9 parallel queries 4 sources cited confidence 0.88
Which stores get the pre-position first?
You · 9:43 AM
Supply Chain Agent · ranking stores
Querying seasonal_prebuild
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. plan
$57.3M
+2.9% WoW
Gross margin, seasonal
31.2%
−2.4pp
Mulch on-hand vs plan
61.4%
−18pp
Special order cycle time
11.6 d
+3.1 days
Revenue vs. plan 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
epicor_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
epicor_special_ordersimport2m ago
netsuite_inventory_snapshotimport14m ago
retail_seasonal_prebuildimport1h ago
retail_sku_velocityimport1h ago
retail_pro_account_salesimport1h ago
retail_weather_dailyimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
pro-team-read-accountspermitModel::"pro_account_sales"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
supply-read-orderspermitModel::"special_orders"
Assortment for Home on Epicor data, live product demo.

Why Assortment matters for Home retail

The top 2,000 SKUs generate the bulk of revenue, but the remaining 48,000 are what makes you a project destination. Drop a niche fitting and you lose the entire project basket. Ward identifies which tail SKUs are project-basket anchors worth keeping and which are truly dead weight that should be rationalized.

What Ward has eyes on.

The connection to Epicor is read-only and runs on your schedule. Ward reads straight from sales orders, inventory, and the rest of the feed, then stitches together it with external context your ERP does not carry: weather, local events, competitor pricing.

The assortment model runs daily, not on a reporting calendar. It spots the pattern, accounts for what caused it, and attaches the next step before the number reaches a review deck.

Ward tracks 50,000+ SKUs over your stores, at the store-category level rather than the chain roll-up. The metrics under watch include project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn. A roll-up hides a single-store problem inside a healthy average, which is how project basket identification stays invisible for a quarter.

At the metric level. Ward tracks long-tail project basket affinity, Pro vs DIY assortment dependency, seasonal SKU activation cycles, and revenue-per-linear-foot by department and planogram section.

Signals · POS at SKU-basket grain over 18+ months, Pro account purchase tagging, seasonal activation history, planogram space allocation, and supplier minimum-order constraints.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

A CFO in home retail owns numbers that move faster than the reporting cycle that covers them. Project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn shift store by store, every morning. A monthly pack cannot represent that. Your P&L surprises are born on the store floor.

  • 01 Seasonal activation cycles mean a SKU "dead" for 9 months can be critical for 3; chain-wide 90-day velocity cuts kill seasonal anchors prematurely.
  • 02 Pro account purchasing patterns differ from DIY in tail-SKU dependency; cutting "dead" specialty fasteners hurts Pro retention more than DIY revenue.

Benchmarks. Home improvement long-tail SKUs (the bottom 60-70% of catalog by velocity) typically generate 8-15% of standalone revenue but anchor 25-35% of project basket value. Pro customers depend disproportionately on the tail, losing tail items typically costs 2-4x the standalone revenue impact in Pro retention.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: connect

    Read-only credentials to Epicor. Ward reads sales orders, inventory, purchase orders and starts building baselines. First insight cards land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: calibration

    Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm

    Daily cards arrive each day and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.

How Ward connects to Epicor

Ward integrates with Epicor for home improvement, furniture, and building supply retailers. Inventory, purchasing, production, and sales data power insight cards.

Setup: Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.

Data Ward reads from Epicor

Sales orders
Inventory
Purchase orders
Customer accounts
Pricing tiers
Vendor performance

Impact metrics with Epicor

Seasonal Accuracy
Pre-buy timing sharpened
Weather and event signals calibrate seasonal positioning.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell patterns found
Project purchasing sequences reveal attachment opportunities.
Vendor Fill Rate
Degradation caught early
Fill rate drops flagged before shelf impact materializes.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Slow-movers identified
Demand-aligned ordering frees capital tied in dead stock.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches Epicor data with: Sales orders, Weather & events, Contractor/Pro data, Competitor pricing, Vendor scorecards

Your P&L surprises are born on the store floor.

Pain points
  • ×Margin erosion only surfaces at month-end close
  • ×Inventory carrying costs are a black box
  • ×Working capital tied up in slow-moving stock nobody is watching
  • ×Same-store sales comps lack decomposition into actionable drivers
  • ×Capex decisions for store remodels lack unit-economics evidence
How Ward helps
  • GMROI tracking by category with weekly insight cards
  • Inventory carrying cost alerts when capital efficiency drops
  • Working capital optimization recommendations based on turnover trends
  • SSS decomposition into traffic, conversion, and basket components
  • Store-level unit economics cards for capex prioritization

Inventory distortion, overstock and out-of-stock combined, costs retailers $1.77 trillion globally. Source: IHL Group

Home KPI impact

Seasonal Accuracy
Weather + event driven
Pre-positioning adjusted for peak season signals.
Long-Tail Turn
Dead weight separated
Which tail SKUs serve project needs vs sit idle.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell surfaced
Project purchasing patterns drive attachment.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Capital freed
Demand forecasting reduces slow-moving overstock.

Frequently asked questions

Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Home retail specifically, Ward monitors 50,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.

Ward tracks Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, Pro customer share, Attachment rate at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.

Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse. Data points include: Sales orders, Inventory, Purchase orders, Customer accounts, Pricing tiers, Vendor performance.

Yes. Ward reads Epicor data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Home-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Your P&L surprises are born on the store floor. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: GMROI tracking by category with weekly insight cards. Inventory carrying cost alerts when capital efficiency drops. Working capital optimization recommendations based on turnover trends.

Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, tailored for Finance decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.

Ward tracks long-tail project basket affinity, Pro vs DIY assortment dependency, seasonal SKU activation cycles, and revenue-per-linear-foot by department and planogram section.

Plumbing carries thousands of SKUs, hundreds with zero sales in 90 days. Ward's project basket analysis reveals that many of those "dead" SKUs appear alongside high-velocity project items, a specialty elbow fitting with minimal standalone sales is still critical to a complete project basket. Deleting it sends the customer to a competitor for the entire job. Ward separates true orphaned SKUs from project-basket anchors and recommends cutting only the former.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Home assortment problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

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Find out what your data has been hiding.

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