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Head of E-Com: home promos, read from SAP Retail

A home Head of E-Com on SAP should not be hunting for promos problems. Ward surfaces them every morning.

The full picture: home promos, SAP data, E-Commerce decisions

Promo Effectiveness, in one sentence. Ward measures true promotional lift net of cannibalization, pull-forward, and pantry loading.

A Home Improvement operator is monitoring 50,000+ SKUs throughout stores. Project-based purchasing, long-tail SKUs, and seasonal volatility. Ward manages the complexity of 50,000+ SKU environments with ease.

Your online and offline data live in different worlds. Ward hands you cards scoped to e-commerce decision-making.

What Ward does with that: Ward isolates incremental volume from baseline, measures cross-SKU cannibalization, estimates pull-forward effects, and calculates true ROI.

The connection itself. Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule.

The short list

  • Pull-forward detection
  • Promo ROI scorecards
  • Net lift measurement (not gross)
  • Cannibalization quantification
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Home @Merchandising: Seasonal Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did the spring mulch pre-build miss in the Southeast?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled the spring pre-build against the last three seasons and the weather signal for the 22 Southeast stores.

SignalFinding
seasonal_prebuildMulch on-hand hit 61% of plan the week temps broke 70°F
dc_pushDC push started 9 days after the first-warm-week trigger, LY it was 2
attach.projectSoil and edging attach fell 18% at stores that gapped on mulch

Recommend: tie the push trigger to the 10-day forecast instead of the calendar week, pre-position two truckloads at the 8 stores that gapped, and re-set the attach endcap.

9 parallel queries 4 sources cited confidence 0.88
Which stores get the pre-position first?
You · 9:43 AM
Supply Chain Agent · ranking stores
Querying seasonal_prebuild
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. plan
$57.3M
+2.9% WoW
Gross margin, seasonal
31.2%
−2.4pp
Mulch on-hand vs plan
61.4%
−18pp
Special order cycle time
11.6 d
+3.1 days
Revenue vs. plan 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
epicor_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
epicor_special_ordersimport2m ago
netsuite_inventory_snapshotimport14m ago
retail_seasonal_prebuildimport1h ago
retail_sku_velocityimport1h ago
retail_pro_account_salesimport1h ago
retail_weather_dailyimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
pro-team-read-accountspermitModel::"pro_account_sales"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
supply-read-orderspermitModel::"special_orders"
Promos for Home on SAP data, live product demo.

Why Promos matters for Home retail

Home improvement promos drive traffic spikes, but most promotional purchases would have happened at full price within 30 days, the customer was already planning the project. True incrementality comes from triggering project starts, not discounting items already in someone's plan.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Promo Effectiveness needs POS transactions and inventory positions at minimum. SAP Retail carries both, at the grain the model needs. That is the whole integration story: no middleware, no staging warehouse, no custom extract.

  • 01 Project-starter bundles typically generate 2-4x the basket size of equivalent single-item discounts but get treated equivalently in promo planning.
  • 02 Pro customers and DIY customers respond to promos completely differently; chain-wide ROI averages obscure that Pro promos often have lower incrementality than DIY events.

Benchmarks. Home improvement holiday promo events show 40-90% gross weekend lift but typically 5-25% net incrementality after pull-forward and post-event drag. Project-starter bundles usually deliver 2-4x the incremental basket value of single-item percentage-off promos.

What Ward has eyes on.

The promos model runs every morning, not on a reporting calendar. It flags the pattern, explains root cause, and attaches a recommended action before the number reaches a review deck.

Coverage is store by store, category by category. Ward monitors project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn across 50,000+ SKUs and compares each store against its own baseline, not against the chain. That is the difference between knowing the fleet is fine and knowing which seven stores are not.

Ward reads straight from SAP rather than replacing it. POS transactions, inventory positions, purchase orders come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as daily cards. Your ERP is untouched.

At the metric level. Ward measures project-start incrementality, pull-forward rates by category, Pro vs DIY promotional response differences, and project basket value vs single-item sales. A 30-day pre/post window captures the full demand-shifting effect.

Signals · POS at SKU-store-day with promo flags, full event calendar, Pro account tagging, basket compositions, and weather/housing market overlays.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: connect

    Read-only credentials to SAP Retail. Ward reads straight from POS transactions, inventory positions, purchase orders and starts building baselines. First cards land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: baselines

    Ward needs roughly two weeks of history per store to separate a real deviation from normal variance. During this window the insight cards are directionally right and the thresholds are still moving.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: steady state

    Ward delivers findings on a daily cycle, each with the cause and the next step. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many insight cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.

How Ward connects to SAP Retail

Ward connects to SAP Retail (S/4HANA, ECC, CAR) via standard BAPIs and IDocs. Transaction data, inventory positions, and master data flow into Ward without custom development.

Setup: Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule.

Data Ward reads from SAP

POS transactions
Inventory positions
Purchase orders
Material master
Vendor master
Promotion calendar

Impact metrics with SAP

Replenishment Accuracy
Gaps flagged early
Inventory positions matched to POS velocity before shelf impact.
Shrinkage
Anomalies surfaced continuously
Transaction-level detection catches what periodic audits miss.
Forecast Accuracy
External signals layered
Weather, events, and competitor data sharpen SAP demand signals.
Promo ROI
True lift isolated
Sell-through data exposes cannibalization and halo effects.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches SAP data with: POS transactions, Weather & events, Competitor pricing, Loyalty & CRM, Supplier fill rates

Your online and offline data live in different worlds.

Pain points
  • ×Nobody can see one inventory position across every channel
  • ×Online promo performance is measured separately from in-store
  • ×Customer behavior data is siloed by channel
  • ×BOPIS/BORIS operational complexity is growing unchecked
  • ×Digital marketing attribution stops at the click
How Ward helps
  • Unified insight cards across online and in-store channels
  • Cross-channel promo effectiveness with true attribution
  • Customer journey tracking across digital and physical touchpoints
  • BOPIS fulfillment performance monitoring with exception cards
  • Full-funnel marketing attribution to in-store conversion

Retailers with unified omnichannel data see 30% higher lifetime value per customer. Source: Harvard Business Review

Home KPI impact

Seasonal Accuracy
Weather + event driven
Pre-positioning adjusted for peak season signals.
Long-Tail Turn
Dead weight separated
Which tail SKUs serve project needs vs sit idle.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell surfaced
Project purchasing patterns drive attachment.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Capital freed
Demand forecasting reduces slow-moving overstock.

Frequently asked questions

Ward measures true promotional lift net of cannibalization, pull-forward, and pantry loading. For Home retail specifically, Ward monitors 50,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.

Ward tracks Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, Pro customer share, Attachment rate at the store-category level. Ward isolates incremental volume from baseline, measures cross-SKU cannibalization, estimates pull-forward effects, and calculates true ROI.

Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule. Data points include: POS transactions, Inventory positions, Purchase orders, Material master, Vendor master, Promotion calendar.

Yes. Ward reads SAP data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Home-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Your online and offline data live in different worlds. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Unified insight cards across online and in-store channels. Cross-channel promo effectiveness with true attribution. Customer journey tracking across digital and physical touchpoints.

Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, tailored for E-Commerce decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.

Ward measures project-start incrementality, pull-forward rates by category, Pro vs DIY promotional response differences, and project basket value vs single-item sales. A 30-day pre/post window captures the full demand-shifting effect.

The Memorial Day event shows strong weekend revenue lift, but Ward's analysis reveals most of it was pull-forward from purchases that would have happened within 30 days, plus deal-seekers with below-average basket sizes. The highest-incrementality performers were project-starter bundles that triggered new project purchases. Ward recommends shifting future event strategy from broad discounts to project-starter bundles.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Home promos problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.

Step 1 of 3
What are your goals?
Step 2 of 3
About your operation
Step 3 of 3
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