What a specialty VP Merchandising sees in assortment first
Ward pulls forward assortment findings scoped to merchandising, throughout every one of your specialty boutiques.
Assortment Planning on a specialty fleet, scoped to merchandising
In a Specialty Retail fleet the job is 5,000+ SKUs throughout boutiques. High-consideration purchases, curated assortments, and customer lifetime value. Ward tracks the metrics that matter for margin-rich retail.
Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets. Ward filters to what a VP Merchandising can act on and drops the rest.
Assortment Planning is a finding type Ward runs continuously. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.
How it runs. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
What you get
- Planogram optimization inputs
- Store cluster segmentation
- SKU rationalization recommendations
- Whitespace opportunity detection
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled traffic against conversion by hour for the four flagships. Traffic is fine. The gap is coverage and depth.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
traffic_conversion | Conversion 18.4% vs. 23.1% chain, all of the gap in 12–2p and 5–7p |
labor.coverage | One associate on the floor through both peaks at 3 of 4 doors |
inventory.depth | Top 20 styles at 1.4 units per size, walk-away rate +9% |
Recommend: add floor coverage to both peak windows, deepen the top 20 styles to three per size at the flagships, and route the walk-away list to clienteling.
traffic_conversion…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
shopify_orders_daily | import | 2m ago |
lightspeed_store_sales | import | 2m ago |
netsuite_inventory_snapshot | import | 14m ago |
retail_customer_ltv | import | 1h ago |
retail_traffic_conversion | import | 1h ago |
retail_clienteling_log | import | 1h ago |
retail_ga4_website_daily | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
ops-read-default | permit | Model::* |
crm-read-ltv | permit | Model::"customer_ltv" |
associate-pii-blocked | forbid | Model::"customer_pii" |
merch-read-assortment | permit | Model::"sales_by_tier" |
Why Assortment matters for Specialty retail
In specialty, curation is the product, adding the wrong item dilutes the brand. Ward quantifies the curatorial instinct by scoring which items reinforce the store's point of view through customer fit and companion purchase patterns, and which are dilutive.
What Ward has eyes on.
The assortment model runs daily, not on a reporting calendar. It detects the pattern, explains the driver, and attaches the next step before the number reaches a review deck.
Every one of your boutiques gets its own baseline. Ward watches CLV, conversion rate, units per transaction against it and surfaces only the deviations that hold up. The two that show up most in specialty retail are assortment curation and customer lifetime value, and both are baseline problems before they are P&L problems.
At the metric level. Ward tracks assortment coherence, customer-fit scoring, incremental contribution beyond existing assortment, and curatorial dilution risk, the danger of adding items that weaken brand positioning.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
A generic assortment model applied to a specialty footprint produces alerts nobody trusts. The thresholds are wrong, because specialty baselines are wrong for it. Ward learns the baseline from your own boutiques instead of importing one.
- 01 Cannibalization between near-identical items in the existing assortment isn't modeled, so the "new addition" sometimes just shifts revenue from another SKU.
- 02 Customer-fit scoring requires loyalty data many specialty chains under-utilize; without segment-level signal, brand coherence becomes a guess.
Benchmarks. Specialty assortment-coherence-aware planning typically delivers 15-30% higher full-price sell-through on new-item additions and reduces end-of-season markdown by 200-400 bps.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: connect
Read-only credentials to whatever holds your transaction and inventory data. Ward starts building baselines the same day. First findings land in two days, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: baselines
Ward needs roughly two weeks of history per store to separate a real deviation from normal variance. During this window the insight cards are directionally right and the thresholds are still moving.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm
Insight cards arrive daily and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.
Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets.
- ×Promo planning still runs off last year's playbook
- ×Assortment reviews happen quarterly when they should happen daily
- ×Price changes chase the market a week behind it
- ×No visibility into true cannibalization across categories
- ×Vendor negotiations lack real-time sell-through evidence
- ✓Insight cards flag promo cannibalization the day it happens
- ✓Assortment gaps and whitespace opportunities surface automatically
- ✓Price elasticity shifts detected before margin erosion compounds
- ✓Category-level performance cards replace manual spreadsheet reviews
- ✓Vendor scorecards generated from actual fill rate and quality data
Retailers lose an estimated $300B+ annually to suboptimal assortment and promotional decisions. Source: McKinsey & Company
Specialty KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Specialty retail specifically, Ward monitors 5,000+ SKUs across your boutiques and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks CLV, Conversion rate, Units per transaction, Repeat purchase rate, Sell-through by tier at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Insight cards flag promo cannibalization the day it happens. Assortment gaps and whitespace opportunities surface automatically. Price elasticity shifts detected before margin erosion compounds.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering CLV, Conversion rate, Units per transaction, tailored for Merchandising decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks assortment coherence, customer-fit scoring, incremental contribution beyond existing assortment, and curatorial dilution risk, the danger of adding items that weaken brand positioning.
A buyer evaluates 60 new SKUs for the fall assortment. Ward scores each on customer fit, basket affinity, and margin contribution after displacement. It separates high-coherence items from those that score well on margin but would attract the wrong customer segment. The buyer selects the high-coherence group and sees meaningfully higher sell-through than prior season additions.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
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Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
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