Assortment Planning for Convenience on NCR, built for loss prevention
Stock what sells. Cut what doesn't. Ward runs it on NCR data throughout your convenience estate, scoped to loss prevention.
How a convenience Head of LP runs assortment on NCR Voyix
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward filters to what a Head of LP can act on and drops the rest.
Here is assortment planning in plain terms. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.
Applied to Convenience & C-Store, the surface area is 3,000+ SKUs across locations. High-frequency, low-SKU environments where every facing counts. Ward monitors impulse categories and daypart demand patterns around the clock.
How it runs. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
The connection itself. Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration.
What it does
- SKU rationalization recommendations
- Whitespace opportunity detection
- Planogram optimization inputs
- Store cluster segmentation
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled the 6–9a daypart for the 14 Route 9 sites against the chain baseline. Two causes, one of them scheduling.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
daypart_sales | 6–9a revenue −11% vs. chain, coffee units −18% |
labor_scheduling | Second associate clocks in at 7:30a, peak starts 6:40a at 9 of 14 sites |
foodservice.waste | Breakfast sandwich waste 14%, hold times past 4 hours at 6 sites |
Recommend: move the second open to 6:15a at those nine sites, cut the breakfast batch by one tray, and re-check attach in two weeks.
daypart_sales…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
ncr_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
pdi_fuel_transactions | import | 2m ago |
verifone_forecourt_events | import | 14m ago |
ncr_planogram_audit | import | 1h ago |
retail_daypart_sales | import | 1h ago |
retail_foodservice_waste | import | 1h ago |
retail_labor_scheduling | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
ops-read-default | permit | Model::* |
lp-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
fuel-team-forecourt | permit | Model::"fuel_transactions" |
Why Assortment matters for Convenience retail
With 3,000 SKUs on a compact selling floor, every product must earn its place, and the right assortment is hyper-local. Ward clusters stores by traffic profile, daypart mix, and surrounding demographics to recommend variations that maximize revenue per square foot at each location.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
Most assortment projects stall at data access. This one does not, because NCR already exposes POS transactions, item-level sales, tender data through an API Ward reads directly.
- 01 Chain-wide planograms over-allocate space to slow tail SKUs in high-volume stores and starve depth on the items that drive 60% of basket starts.
- 02 New-item performance is measured against the new item's standalone sales without accounting for what was displaced; net assortment productivity often goes backwards.
Benchmarks. C-store top-200 SKUs typically generate 50-65% of inside revenue. Cluster-aware planograms usually free 10-20% of facings without revenue loss, redirecting that space to higher-velocity items and lifting same-store inside revenue 2-5%.
What Ward has eyes on.
Ward pulls from NCR rather than replacing it. POS transactions, item-level sales, tender data come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as cards. Your POS is untouched.
The assortment model runs every morning, not on a reporting calendar. It flags the pattern, traces the cause, and attaches what to do about it before the number reaches a review deck.
Coverage is store by store, category by category. Ward monitors transactions/hour, attach rate, basket size throughout 3,000+ SKUs and compares each store against its own baseline, not against the chain. That is the difference between knowing the estate is fine and knowing which seven locations are not.
At the metric level. Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: connect
Read-only credentials to NCR Voyix. Ward reads POS transactions, item-level sales, tender data and starts building baselines. First insight cards land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: steady state
Ward returns insight cards on a daily cycle, each with root cause and a recommended action. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.
How Ward connects to NCR Voyix
Ward integrates with NCR Voyix POS and Aloha for convenience and restaurant retail. Transaction-level data powers daypart analysis and impulse optimization.
Setup: Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration.
Data Ward reads from NCR
Impact metrics with NCR
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches NCR data with: POS transactions, Weather & events, Loyalty data, Competitor proximity, Demographic data
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where.
- ×Shrinkage lands as a year-end surprise
- ×Cannot distinguish theft from spoilage from admin error
- ×High-shrinkage stores only identified during audits
- ×No correlation between operational changes and loss patterns
- ×Exception-based reporting misses slow-bleed patterns
- ✓Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution
- ✓Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average
- ✓Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically
- ✓Correlation analysis links operational changes to loss shifts
- ✓Trend analysis catches slow-bleed patterns audits miss
US retail shrinkage hit $112.1 billion in 2022. Up 19.4% year over year. Source: National Retail Federation
Convenience KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Convenience retail specifically, Ward monitors 3,000+ SKUs across your locations and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, Planogram compliance, Daypart mix at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration. Data points include: POS transactions, Item-level sales, Tender data, Daypart summaries, Loyalty data.
Yes. Ward reads NCR data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Convenience-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution. Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average. Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, tailored for Loss Prevention decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
A standardized planogram runs across all 500 locations. Ward identifies distinct store clusters, highway/travel, urban commuter, residential, university-adjacent, each overindexing on different categories. Ward recommends reallocating shelf space per cluster to match actual demand. Pilot stores show meaningful revenue uplift from better product-location matching with zero cost increase: same SKU count, just the right ones in the right stores.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
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