Assortment Planning for Convenience on Snowflake, built for loss prevention
Stock what sells. Cut what doesn't. Ward runs it on Snowflake data throughout your convenience fleet, scoped to loss prevention.
The full picture: convenience assortment, Snowflake data, Loss Prevention decisions
Here is assortment planning in plain terms. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.
Applied to Convenience & C-Store, the surface area is 3,000+ SKUs over locations. High-frequency, low-SKU environments where every facing counts. Ward monitors impulse categories and daypart demand patterns around the clock.
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward writes the finding at the altitude a Head of LP works at.
How Ward hands back Assortment insight cards: Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
How the connection works. Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake.
The short list
- SKU rationalization recommendations
- Whitespace opportunity detection
- Planogram optimization inputs
- Store cluster segmentation
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled the 6–9a daypart for the 14 Route 9 sites against the chain baseline. Two causes, one of them scheduling.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
daypart_sales | 6–9a revenue −11% vs. chain, coffee units −18% |
labor_scheduling | Second associate clocks in at 7:30a, peak starts 6:40a at 9 of 14 sites |
foodservice.waste | Breakfast sandwich waste 14%, hold times past 4 hours at 6 sites |
Recommend: move the second open to 6:15a at those nine sites, cut the breakfast batch by one tray, and re-check attach in two weeks.
daypart_sales…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
ncr_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
pdi_fuel_transactions | import | 2m ago |
verifone_forecourt_events | import | 14m ago |
ncr_planogram_audit | import | 1h ago |
retail_daypart_sales | import | 1h ago |
retail_foodservice_waste | import | 1h ago |
retail_labor_scheduling | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
ops-read-default | permit | Model::* |
lp-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
fuel-team-forecourt | permit | Model::"fuel_transactions" |
Why Assortment matters for Convenience retail
With 3,000 SKUs on a compact selling floor, every product must earn its place, and the right assortment is hyper-local. Ward clusters stores by traffic profile, daypart mix, and surrounding demographics to recommend variations that maximize revenue per square foot at each location.
What Ward has eyes on.
Ward watches 3,000+ SKUs over your locations, at the store-category level rather than the chain roll-up. The metrics under watch include transactions/hour, attach rate, basket size. A roll-up hides a single-store problem inside a healthy average, which is how daypart demand variation stays invisible for a quarter.
Ward reads straight from Snowflake rather than replacing it. Any table or view in your Snowflake account, cross-database joins, historical data at any depth come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as insight cards. Your Data Platform is untouched.
Stock what sells. Cut what doesn't. Ward runs the model continuously rather than on a reporting cycle, which is why a finding lands the morning the pattern starts instead of at the end of the period.
At the metric level. Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
Most assortment projects stall at data access. This one does not, because Snowflake already exposes any table or view in your Snowflake account, cross-database joins, historical data at any depth through an API Ward reads directly.
- 01 New-item performance is measured against the new item's standalone sales without accounting for what was displaced; net assortment productivity often goes backwards.
- 02 Daypart adjacency (breakfast next to coffee) is a layout decision but isn't modeled in the assortment math; it shows up as "low SKU productivity" when really it's a placement issue.
Benchmarks. C-store top-200 SKUs typically generate 50-65% of inside revenue. Cluster-aware planograms usually free 10-20% of facings without revenue loss, redirecting that space to higher-velocity items and lifting same-store inside revenue 2-5%.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: read-only connection
Ward plugs into Snowflake with read-only credentials and begins ingesting any table or view in your Snowflake account and cross-database joins. No config changes on your side. First daily cards arrive in two days.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: baselines
Ward needs roughly two weeks of history per store to separate a real deviation from normal variance. During this window the findings are directionally right and the thresholds are still moving.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: steady state
Ward hands back findings daily, each with the driver and a recommended move. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.
How Ward connects to Snowflake
Ward queries your Snowflake data warehouse directly. If your retail data lives in Snowflake, Ward reads it without moving or copying anything.
Setup: Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake.
Data Ward reads from Snowflake
Impact metrics with Snowflake
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches Snowflake data with: Any Snowflake table, Weather & events, Demographics, Competitor data, Custom feeds
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where.
- ×Shrinkage lands as a year-end surprise
- ×Cannot distinguish theft from spoilage from admin error
- ×High-shrinkage stores only identified during audits
- ×No correlation between operational changes and loss patterns
- ×Exception-based reporting misses slow-bleed patterns
- ✓Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution
- ✓Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average
- ✓Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically
- ✓Correlation analysis links operational changes to loss shifts
- ✓Trend analysis catches slow-bleed patterns audits miss
US retail shrinkage hit $112.1 billion in 2022. Up 19.4% year over year. Source: National Retail Federation
Convenience KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Convenience retail specifically, Ward monitors 3,000+ SKUs across your locations and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, Planogram compliance, Daypart mix at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake. Data points include: Any table or view in your Snowflake account, Cross-database joins, Historical data at any depth.
Yes. Ward reads Snowflake data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Convenience-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution. Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average. Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, tailored for Loss Prevention decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
A standardized planogram runs across all 500 locations. Ward identifies distinct store clusters, highway/travel, urban commuter, residential, university-adjacent, each overindexing on different categories. Ward recommends reallocating shelf space per cluster to match actual demand. Pilot stores show meaningful revenue uplift from better product-location matching with zero cost increase: same SKU count, just the right ones in the right stores.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
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Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
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