Assortment Planning for Convenience on Snowflake, built for supply chain
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward detects convenience assortment movement in your Snowflake data before it compounds, with root cause and a recommended action attached.
How a convenience VP Supply Chain runs assortment on Snowflake
A Convenience & C-Store operator is tracking 3,000+ SKUs over locations. High-frequency, low-SKU environments where every facing counts. Ward monitors impulse categories and daypart demand patterns around the clock.
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward writes the finding at the altitude a VP Supply Chain works at.
Assortment Planning is a insight card type Ward runs continuously. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.
How it runs. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
The connection itself. Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake.
What you get
- SKU rationalization recommendations
- Whitespace opportunity detection
- Planogram optimization inputs
- Store cluster segmentation
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled the 6–9a daypart for the 14 Route 9 sites against the chain baseline. Two causes, one of them scheduling.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
daypart_sales | 6–9a revenue −11% vs. chain, coffee units −18% |
labor_scheduling | Second associate clocks in at 7:30a, peak starts 6:40a at 9 of 14 sites |
foodservice.waste | Breakfast sandwich waste 14%, hold times past 4 hours at 6 sites |
Recommend: move the second open to 6:15a at those nine sites, cut the breakfast batch by one tray, and re-check attach in two weeks.
daypart_sales…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
ncr_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
pdi_fuel_transactions | import | 2m ago |
verifone_forecourt_events | import | 14m ago |
ncr_planogram_audit | import | 1h ago |
retail_daypart_sales | import | 1h ago |
retail_foodservice_waste | import | 1h ago |
retail_labor_scheduling | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
ops-read-default | permit | Model::* |
lp-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
fuel-team-forecourt | permit | Model::"fuel_transactions" |
Why Assortment matters for Convenience retail
With 3,000 SKUs on a compact selling floor, every product must earn its place, and the right assortment is hyper-local. Ward clusters stores by traffic profile, daypart mix, and surrounding demographics to recommend variations that maximize revenue per square foot at each location.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
The supply chain problem in convenience retail is not missing data. It is that transactions/hour, attach rate, basket size live in different systems on different refresh schedules, and reconciling them is a person-week. Ward does the reconciliation and hands you the two-line version.
- 01 New-item performance is measured against the new item's standalone sales without accounting for what was displaced; net assortment productivity often goes backwards.
- 02 Daypart adjacency (breakfast next to coffee) is a layout decision but isn't modeled in the assortment math; it shows up as "low SKU productivity" when really it's a placement issue.
Benchmarks. C-store top-200 SKUs typically generate 50-65% of inside revenue. Cluster-aware planograms usually free 10-20% of facings without revenue loss, redirecting that space to higher-velocity items and lifting same-store inside revenue 2-5%.
What Ward has eyes on.
Ward ingests Snowflake rather than replacing it. Any table or view in your Snowflake account, cross-database joins, historical data at any depth come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as daily cards. Your Data Platform is untouched.
The assortment model runs daily, not on a reporting calendar. It spots the pattern, explains root cause, and attaches a recommended action before the number reaches a review deck.
Ward monitors 3,000+ SKUs over your locations, at the store-category level rather than the chain roll-up. The metrics under watch include transactions/hour, attach rate, basket size. A roll-up hides a single-store problem inside a healthy average, which is how daypart demand variation stays invisible for a quarter.
At the metric level. Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: read-only connection
Ward plugs into Snowflake with read-only credentials and begins ingesting any table or view in your Snowflake account and cross-database joins. No config changes on your side. First cards arrive in two days.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: steady state
Ward delivers daily cards each day, each with the cause and what to do about it. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many daily cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.
How Ward connects to Snowflake
Ward queries your Snowflake data warehouse directly. If your retail data lives in Snowflake, Ward reads it without moving or copying anything.
Setup: Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake.
Data Ward reads from Snowflake
Impact metrics with Snowflake
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches Snowflake data with: Any Snowflake table, Weather & events, Demographics, Competitor data, Custom feeds
You find out about stockouts after customers do.
- ×Demand forecasts are off by 15-25% and nobody catches it until the shelf is empty
- ×Supplier fill rate problems announce themselves at the receiving dock
- ×Safety stock levels get set once a year and left alone
- ×No early warning system for supply chain disruptions
- ×Replenishment exceptions require manual triage every morning
- ✓Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves
- ✓Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation
- ✓Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals
- ✓Weather, event, and macro-driven demand adjustments
- ✓Replenishment exceptions auto-prioritized by revenue impact
Stockouts cost retailers $1.14 trillion in missed sales globally each year. Source: IHL Group
Convenience KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Convenience retail specifically, Ward monitors 3,000+ SKUs across your locations and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, Planogram compliance, Daypart mix at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.
Ward connects via Snowflake SQL API with key-pair authentication. Read-only warehouse. Your data never leaves Snowflake. Data points include: Any table or view in your Snowflake account, Cross-database joins, Historical data at any depth.
Yes. Ward reads Snowflake data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Convenience-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves. Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation. Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Transactions/hour, Attach rate, Basket size, tailored for Supply Chain decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks revenue per facing, velocity by daypart and cluster, redundancy analysis, and attach-rate contribution. It also monitors new-item performance against the displaced SKU to measure true assortment productivity.
A standardized planogram runs across all 500 locations. Ward identifies distinct store clusters, highway/travel, urban commuter, residential, university-adjacent, each overindexing on different categories. Ward recommends reallocating shelf space per cluster to match actual demand. Pilot stores show meaningful revenue uplift from better product-location matching with zero cost increase: same SKU count, just the right ones in the right stores.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
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