Customer Behavior for Head of Loss Prevention, read from NCR Voyix
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward flags customer movement in your NCR data and accounts for what caused it.
How a Head of LP runs customer off NCR Voyix
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward writes the finding at the altitude a Head of LP works at.
Customer Behavior, in one sentence. Ward tracks basket composition shifts, daypart patterns, and customer segment migration.
What Ward does with that: Ward analyzes transaction-level data to detect shifts in basket composition, shopping frequency, daypart preferences, and segment movement.
Setup: Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration.
What you get
- Cross-sell opportunity detection
- Basket composition trends
- Daypart behavior modeling
- Customer segment migration
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled Store 37’s last 28 days against the chain baseline. Two root causes, both compounding.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
labor_efficiency | Rev/labor-hour −22% vs. cluster, staffing mismatch at 11a–1p peak |
inventory.fresh | Fresh fill 83%, backroom replenishment lag at 2–4p |
promo.lift | BOGO crackers cannibalized Brand Y by 28%, net category +6% |
Recommend: re-baseline Store 37 schedule against true peak, raise replen window to 1p, and review the BOGO before next cycle.
labor_scheduling…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
sap_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
sap_inventory_shrinkage | import | 2m ago |
sap_labor_scheduling | import | 14m ago |
retail_inventory_weekly | import | 1h ago |
retail_google_ads_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_meta_ads_daily | import | 1h ago |
retail_ga4_website_daily | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
merch-read-default | permit | Model::* |
finance-read-shrinkage | permit | Model::"inventory_shrinkage" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
region-west-only | permit | Tenant::"acme" |
Why this combination
is its own problem.
Customer Behavior needs POS transactions and item-level sales at minimum. NCR Voyix carries both, at the grain the model needs. That is the whole integration story: no middleware, no staging warehouse, no custom extract.
What Ward has eyes on.
The customer model runs every morning, not on a reporting calendar. It spots the pattern, explains the cause, and attaches a recommended action before the number reaches a review deck.
The connection to NCR Voyix is read-only and runs on your schedule. Ward pulls from POS transactions, item-level sales, and the rest of the feed, then joins it with external context your POS does not carry: weather, local events, competitor pricing.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: read-only connection
Ward plugs into NCR Voyix with read-only credentials and begins ingesting POS transactions and item-level sales. No config changes on your side. First cards arrive in two days.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: steady state
Ward returns cards every morning, each with what caused it and what to do about it. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many insight cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.
How Ward connects to NCR Voyix
Ward integrates with NCR Voyix POS and Aloha for convenience and restaurant retail. Transaction-level data powers daypart analysis and impulse optimization.
Setup: Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration.
Data Ward reads from NCR
Impact metrics with NCR
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches NCR data with: POS transactions, Weather & events, Loyalty data, Competitor proximity, Demographic data
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where.
- ×Shrinkage lands as a year-end surprise
- ×Cannot distinguish theft from spoilage from admin error
- ×High-shrinkage stores only identified during audits
- ×No correlation between operational changes and loss patterns
- ×Exception-based reporting misses slow-bleed patterns
- ✓Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution
- ✓Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average
- ✓Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically
- ✓Correlation analysis links operational changes to loss shifts
- ✓Trend analysis catches slow-bleed patterns audits miss
US retail shrinkage hit $112.1 billion in 2022. Up 19.4% year over year. Source: National Retail Federation
Frequently asked questions
Ward reads NCR transaction data via API or data export. Real-time or batch, depending on your NCR configuration. Data points include: POS transactions, Item-level sales, Tender data, Daypart summaries, Loyalty data.
Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution. Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average. Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
See what customer problems Ward catches.
Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
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