Customer Behavior: Furniture retail, Epicor data, Supply Chain decisions
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward flags furniture customer movement in your Epicor data while it is still fixable, with root cause and what to do about it attached.
The full picture: furniture customer, Epicor data, Supply Chain decisions
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward filters to what a VP Supply Chain can act on and drops the rest.
Customer Behavior. Ward tracks basket composition shifts, daypart patterns, and customer segment migration.
A Furniture Manufacturing & Retail operator is watching 10,000+ SKUs throughout locations. ERP-locked production data, long lead times, and margin erosion you don't see until quarter-end. Ward connects your internal systems and surfaces what matters.
What Ward does with that: Ward analyzes transaction-level data to detect shifts in basket composition, shopping frequency, daypart preferences, and segment movement.
Getting the data in. Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.
Capabilities
- Basket composition trends
- Daypart behavior modeling
- Customer segment migration
- Cross-sell opportunity detection
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled upholstery cost of goods by BOM line against the last price file. Three quarters of the drop is material and freight, not discounting.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
bom_cost_actuals | Foam and frame stock +9.2% since the March price file, never carried to list |
freight.inbound | Inbound container cost +$412 per unit-equivalent on the Vietnam lane |
channel.mix | Wholesale share up 6pp, and wholesale runs 11pp under DTC margin |
Recommend: reprice the six affected SKUs at the next list cycle, quote the alternate foam vendor, and hold wholesale allocation flat until list catches up.
bom_cost_actuals…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
epicor_production_stage_log | import | 2m ago |
epicor_bom_cost_actuals | import | 2m ago |
sap_inventory_snapshot | import | 14m ago |
netsuite_sales_orders | import | 1h ago |
retail_showroom_pos | import | 1h ago |
retail_freight_inbound | import | 1h ago |
retail_dealer_orders | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
finance-read-default | permit | Model::* |
sourcing-read-bom | permit | Model::"bom_cost_actuals" |
dealer-blocked | forbid | Model::"bom_*" |
plant-read-production | permit | Model::"production_stage_log" |
Why Customer matters for Furniture retail
A furniture purchase is a considered, weeks-long decision that crosses the website, the showroom, and the sales associate. The path rarely shows up in one system, so the research a customer did online before buying on the floor goes uncredited. Ward stitches the journey across channels and surfaces where high-intent shoppers stall, so you can shorten the path from first visit to delivered order.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
A VP Supply Chain rarely logs into Epicor. They read what someone else pulled out of it, two days later. Ward removes the two days and the someone else.
- 01 A long, multi-visit consideration cycle is scored with single-session conversion metrics that make high-intent shoppers look like bounces.
- 02 Web and showroom are measured as separate funnels, so online research that drives an in-store sale is credited to neither channel correctly.
Benchmarks. Furniture purchase cycles commonly span two to six weeks with three or more touchpoints across channels. Retailers that connect the online-to-showroom path and act on it typically lift close rates on considered categories by high single to low double digits, mostly by removing friction between research and purchase.
What Ward has eyes on.
Ward scans continuously 10,000+ SKUs across your locations, at the store-category level rather than the chain roll-up. The metrics under watch include inventory carrying cost, order-to-delivery cycle, gross margin by channel. A roll-up hides a single-store problem inside a healthy average, which is how disconnected ERP, warehouse, and POS systems stays invisible for a quarter.
Ward ingests Epicor rather than replacing it. Sales orders, inventory, purchase orders come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as findings. Your ERP is untouched.
Understand the person behind the basket. Ward runs the model continuously rather than on a reporting cycle, which is why a finding lands the morning the pattern starts instead of at the end of the period.
At the metric level. Ward tracks cross-channel journeys from first web session to delivered order, measures dwell time and repeat visits on considered pieces, identifies the online tools that predict a showroom close, and segments by considered-purchase category. The long decision cycle means the highest-value signal is intent over weeks, not a single-session conversion.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: read-only connection
Ward plugs into Epicor with read-only credentials and begins ingesting sales orders and inventory. No config changes on your side. First daily cards arrive in two days.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: baselines
Ward needs roughly two weeks of history per store to separate a real deviation from normal variance. During this window the insight cards are directionally right and the thresholds are still moving.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm
Findings arrive daily and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.
How Ward connects to Epicor
Ward integrates with Epicor for home improvement, furniture, and building supply retailers. Inventory, purchasing, production, and sales data power insight cards.
Setup: Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.
Data Ward reads from Epicor
Impact metrics with Epicor
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches Epicor data with: Sales orders, Weather & events, Contractor/Pro data, Competitor pricing, Vendor scorecards
You find out about stockouts after customers do.
- ×Demand forecasts are off by 15-25% and nobody catches it until the shelf is empty
- ×Supplier fill rate problems announce themselves at the receiving dock
- ×Safety stock levels get set once a year and left alone
- ×No early warning system for supply chain disruptions
- ×Replenishment exceptions require manual triage every morning
- ✓Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves
- ✓Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation
- ✓Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals
- ✓Weather, event, and macro-driven demand adjustments
- ✓Replenishment exceptions auto-prioritized by revenue impact
Stockouts cost retailers $1.14 trillion in missed sales globally each year. Source: IHL Group
Furniture KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward tracks basket composition shifts, daypart patterns, and customer segment migration. For Furniture retail specifically, Ward monitors 10,000+ SKUs across your locations and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Inventory carrying cost, Order-to-delivery cycle, Gross margin by channel, Raw material cost variance, Custom order cycle time at the store-category level. Ward analyzes transaction-level data to detect shifts in basket composition, shopping frequency, daypart preferences, and segment movement.
Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse. Data points include: Sales orders, Inventory, Purchase orders, Customer accounts, Pricing tiers, Vendor performance.
Yes. Ward reads Epicor data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Furniture-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
You find out about stockouts after customers do. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Stockout prediction cards arrive 24-72 hours before empty shelves. Supplier fill rate tracking with automatic escalation. Dynamic safety stock recommendations based on current demand signals.
Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Inventory carrying cost, Order-to-delivery cycle, Gross margin by channel, tailored for Supply Chain decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.
Ward tracks cross-channel journeys from first web session to delivered order, measures dwell time and repeat visits on considered pieces, identifies the online tools that predict a showroom close, and segments by considered-purchase category. The long decision cycle means the highest-value signal is intent over weeks, not a single-session conversion.
Ward links web sessions, showroom visits, and closed orders and finds that a large share of showroom buyers of a bedroom collection researched it online for two to three weeks first, often building a room in the online planner. Web analytics had been crediting those sales to the store as if the site played no part. Ward shows the online planner is the single strongest predictor of a showroom close, and recommends promoting it earlier and training associates to pull up a customer's saved room on arrival.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
See what Furniture customer problems Ward catches.
Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
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