Grocery · BigQuery · Head of LP

What a grocery Head of LP pulls out of BigQuery

Your BigQuery feed covers 30,000+ SKUs throughout your stores. Ward reads it for loss prevention.

What a grocery Head of LP gets from Google BigQuery

Applied to Grocery & Supermarket, the surface area is 30,000+ SKUs across stores. Fresh availability, shrinkage, and promo effectiveness across hundreds of stores. Ward monitors perishable turn rates and flags waste before it happens.

Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward delivers findings scoped to loss prevention decision-making.

How the connection works. Service account with BigQuery Data Viewer role. Ward runs read-only SQL queries on your schedule.

app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Grocery @Merchandising: Fresh Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did Store 37 miss target last week?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled Store 37’s last 28 days against the chain baseline. Two root causes, both compounding.

SignalFinding
labor_efficiencyRev/labor-hour −22% vs. cluster, staffing mismatch at 11a–1p peak
inventory.freshFresh fill 83%, backroom replenishment lag at 2–4p
promo.liftBOGO crackers cannibalized Brand Y by 28%, net category +6%

Recommend: re-baseline Store 37 schedule against true peak, raise replen window to 1p, and review the BOGO before next cycle.

8 parallel queries 3 sources cited confidence 0.92
Show me how to fix the staffing mismatch.
You · 9:43 AM
Labor Agent · drafting schedule diff
Querying labor_scheduling
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. forecast
$48.2M
+4.2% WoW
Gross margin, center store
22.6%
−3.2pp
Fill rate, fresh
83.4%
−4.1pp
Shrink, West region
2.41%
+0.8pp
Revenue vs. forecast 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
sap_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
sap_inventory_shrinkageimport2m ago
sap_labor_schedulingimport14m ago
relex_replenishment_planimport1h ago
blue_yonder_forecast_dailyimport1h ago
retail_fresh_waste_dailyimport1h ago
retail_promo_calendarimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
lp-read-shrinkagepermitModel::"inventory_shrinkage"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
fresh-team-westpermitModel::"fresh_waste_daily"
for Grocery on BigQuery data, live product demo.

What Ward delivers

  • Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution
  • Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average
  • Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically
  • Correlation analysis links operational changes to loss shifts
  • Trend analysis catches slow-bleed patterns audits miss

Metrics Ward monitors

Fill rate
Shrinkage %
Fresh waste %
Promo lift
Basket size

Grocery challenges Ward solves

  • Fresh waste & spoilage
  • On-shelf availability gaps
  • Promo cannibalization
  • Supplier fill rate variance
  • Seasonal demand spikes

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Running Ward on BigQuery in a grocery fleet skips the usual first step. There is no ingestion project, because Google BigQuery already holds any BigQuery dataset, gA4 event exports, ads data transfers. Ward ingests what is there.

What Ward has eyes on.

Coverage is store by store, category by category. Ward tracks fill rate, shrinkage %, fresh waste % across 30,000+ SKUs and compares each store against its own baseline, not against the chain. That is the difference between knowing the footprint is fine and knowing which seven stores are not.

Ward pulls from BigQuery rather than replacing it. Any BigQuery dataset, gA4 event exports, ads data transfers come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as insight cards. Your Data Platform is untouched.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: connect

    Read-only credentials to Google BigQuery. Ward pulls from any BigQuery dataset, gA4 event exports, ads data transfers and starts building baselines. First findings land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: calibration

    Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm

    Cards arrive every morning and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.

How Ward connects to Google BigQuery

Ward queries BigQuery using your existing datasets. GA4 exports, POS data, CRM exports. Ward reads it where it lives.

Setup: Service account with BigQuery Data Viewer role. Ward runs read-only SQL queries on your schedule.

Data Ward reads from BigQuery

Any BigQuery dataset
GA4 event exports
Ads data transfers
Custom ETL outputs

Impact metrics with BigQuery

Time to Insight
No staging required
GA4, POS, and CRM datasets queried in place.
Marketing Attribution
Online-offline linked
GA4 events joined with in-store POS to close attribution gaps.
Data Activation
Historical data made queryable
Years of unqueried BigQuery data brought into analysis.
Anomaly Detection Speed
Always-on monitoring
Deviations caught between scheduled dashboard reviews.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches BigQuery data with: Any BigQuery dataset, GA4 event exports, Weather & events, Demographics, Custom feeds

Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where.

Pain points
  • ×Shrinkage lands as a year-end surprise
  • ×Cannot distinguish theft from spoilage from admin error
  • ×High-shrinkage stores only identified during audits
  • ×No correlation between operational changes and loss patterns
  • ×Exception-based reporting misses slow-bleed patterns
How Ward helps
  • Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution
  • Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average
  • Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically
  • Correlation analysis links operational changes to loss shifts
  • Trend analysis catches slow-bleed patterns audits miss

US retail shrinkage hit $112.1 billion in 2022. Up 19.4% year over year. Source: National Retail Federation

Grocery KPI impact

Shrinkage
Cause-level attribution
Loss prevention shifts from guesswork to targeted intervention.
Fill Rate
24–72hr head start
Stockout prediction cards arrive before customers notice gaps.
Fresh Waste
Flagged before spoilage
Perishable turn rates monitored by store.
Promo ROI
Net lift, not gross
True lift net of cannibalization and pull-forward.

Frequently asked questions

Service account with BigQuery Data Viewer role. Ward runs read-only SQL queries on your schedule. Data points include: Any BigQuery dataset, GA4 event exports, Ads data transfers, Custom ETL outputs.

Yes. Ward reads BigQuery data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Grocery-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Shrinkage costs you more than you think. Ward finds out where. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Store-level shrinkage tracking with cause attribution. Anomaly detection flags stores deviating from estate average. Receiving dock discrepancy patterns identified automatically.

Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Fill rate, Shrinkage %, Fresh waste %, tailored for Loss Prevention decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Grocery problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.

Step 1 of 3
What are your goals?
Step 2 of 3
About your operation
Step 3 of 3
Your contact info