Ward runs stockout on your SAP home data
Know before the shelf empties. Ward runs it on SAP data throughout your home footprint, without a warehouse project first.
The home stockout stack on SAP Retail
Stockout Prediction. Ward detects SKUs trending toward zero-on-hand and alerts your team with replenishment recommendations before customers notice.
In a Home Improvement fleet the job is 50,000+ SKUs over stores. Project-based purchasing, long-tail SKUs, and seasonal volatility. Ward manages the complexity of 50,000+ SKU environments with ease.
How it runs. Ward analyzes sell-through velocity, current inventory levels, lead times, and supplier reliability to predict stockouts 24-72 hours before they occur.
Setup: Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule.
What it does
- Supplier-aware lead time modeling
- Priority ranking by revenue impact
- Reduce lost sales by catching gaps early
- Automated replenishment recommendations
Chat
Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.
I pulled the spring pre-build against the last three seasons and the weather signal for the 22 Southeast stores.
| Signal | Finding |
|---|---|
seasonal_prebuild | Mulch on-hand hit 61% of plan the week temps broke 70°F |
dc_push | DC push started 9 days after the first-warm-week trigger, LY it was 2 |
attach.project | Soil and edging attach fell 18% at stores that gapped on mulch |
Recommend: tie the push trigger to the 10-day forecast instead of the calendar week, pre-position two truckloads at the 8 stores that gapped, and re-set the attach endcap.
seasonal_prebuild…
Reporting
Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.
| Model | Horizon | MAPE |
|---|---|---|
holt_winters | 4wk | 4.1% |
arima_sarimax | 13wk | 8.9% |
gbm_demand | 1wk | 2.1% |
bayes_hier | new store | 11.4% |
Sources
Connect external systems to the data lake.
| Name | Type | Last sync |
|---|---|---|
epicor_pos_transactions | import | 2m ago |
epicor_special_orders | import | 2m ago |
netsuite_inventory_snapshot | import | 14m ago |
retail_seasonal_prebuild | import | 1h ago |
retail_sku_velocity | import | 1h ago |
retail_pro_account_sales | import | 1h ago |
retail_weather_daily | import | 1h ago |
Policies
Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.
| Policy ID | Effect | Resources |
|---|---|---|
merch-read-default | permit | Model::* |
pro-team-read-accounts | permit | Model::"pro_account_sales" |
vendor-blocked | forbid | Model::"labor_*" |
supply-read-orders | permit | Model::"special_orders" |
Why Stockout matters for Home retail
A missing grout SKU doesn't just lose a grout sale, it kills the entire tile project basket. Ward models project basket dependencies and scores stockout predictions by basket-impact, prioritizing replenishment on the items with the highest project-abandonment risk.
Why this combination
is its own problem.
SAP Retail is the system of record for most home operators of your size, which means the indicators Ward needs are already there. The gap is not data collection. It is that nobody has time to read POS transactions and inventory positions every morning over every store.
- 01 Stockout severity gets ranked by SKU revenue when the real cost is the project basket abandonment that follows the missing low-margin component.
- 02 Seasonal spring/summer surges are modeled by chain-wide curves that miss the regional weather variance, Northeast deck season starts 4-6 weeks after Southeast.
Benchmarks. Home improvement project basket abandonment: a missing $5 component routinely costs $150-400 in lost project basket revenue. Pro customer baskets average 3-8x DIY size and have markedly different replenishment urgency.
What Ward has eyes on.
Ward pulls from POS transactions, inventory positions, purchase orders from SAP Retail on a read-only connection. Nothing is written back, and your ERP configuration does not change. SAP stays the system of record.
The stockout model runs on a daily cycle, not on a reporting calendar. It detects the pattern, attributes the cause, and attaches a recommended move before the number reaches a review deck.
Coverage is store by store, category by category. Ward keeps a running read on project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn across 50,000+ SKUs and compares each store against its own baseline, not against the chain. That is the difference between knowing the fleet is fine and knowing which seven stores are not.
At the metric level. Ward accounts for project basket dependencies, seasonal demand curves, Pro customer bulk patterns, and the outsized revenue impact of missing a low-cost component that completes a high-value project.
What the first 90 days
actually look like.
-
01
Week 1: connect
Read-only credentials to SAP Retail. Ward reads straight from POS transactions, inventory positions, purchase orders and starts building baselines. First findings land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.
-
02
Weeks 2 to 3: calibration
Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.
-
03
Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm
Cards arrive daily and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.
How Ward connects to SAP Retail
Ward connects to SAP Retail (S/4HANA, ECC, CAR) via standard BAPIs and IDocs. Transaction data, inventory positions, and master data flow into Ward without custom development.
Setup: Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule.
Data Ward reads from SAP
Impact metrics with SAP
Data lake enrichment
Ward enriches SAP data with: POS transactions, Weather & events, Competitor pricing, Loyalty & CRM, Supplier fill rates
Home KPI impact
Frequently asked questions
Ward detects SKUs trending toward zero-on-hand and alerts your team with replenishment recommendations before customers notice. For Home retail specifically, Ward monitors 50,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.
Ward tracks Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, Pro customer share, Attachment rate at the store-category level. Ward analyzes sell-through velocity, current inventory levels, lead times, and supplier reliability to predict stockouts 24-72 hours before they occur.
Ward reads from SAP via RFC/BAPI or OData APIs. No changes to your SAP configuration. Read-only access. Data syncs on your schedule. Data points include: POS transactions, Inventory positions, Purchase orders, Material master, Vendor master, Promotion calendar.
Yes. Ward reads SAP data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Home-specific insight cards. No custom development required.
Ward accounts for project basket dependencies, seasonal demand curves, Pro customer bulk patterns, and the outsized revenue impact of missing a low-cost component that completes a high-value project.
Ward detects a popular deck stain trending toward stockout as spring project season peaks. The insight goes beyond the stain itself: project basket analysis shows customers buying this product also purchase brushes, drop cloths, and sandpaper. Ward issues a prediction card with full basket-impact context, and the DC team expedites replenishment to protect total project basket revenue across affected stores.
First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.
No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.
Related solutions
See what Home stockout problems Ward catches.
Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.
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