Shrinkage · Oracle

Your Oracle feed, read as shrinkage

Shrinkage Detection needs sales audit and inventory positions. Oracle has both. Ward does the rest.

Running shrinkage detection off Oracle Retail

Shrinkage Detection. Ward identifies abnormal inventory loss patterns and distinguishes between theft, damage, spoilage, and administrative error.

The mechanism. Ward compares expected inventory against actual counts, segments loss by cause category, and flags store-level anomalies against your estate baseline.

How the connection works. Ward reads from Oracle Retail via REST APIs or direct database views. Compatible with Oracle Cloud and on-premise deployments.

What it does

  • Cause-level shrinkage attribution
  • Store-vs-estate benchmarking
  • Receiving dock anomaly detection
  • Pattern recognition across time
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Retail @Merchandising: VP Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did Store 37 miss target last week?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled Store 37’s last 28 days against the chain baseline. Two root causes, both compounding.

SignalFinding
labor_efficiencyRev/labor-hour −22% vs. cluster, staffing mismatch at 11a–1p peak
inventory.freshFresh fill 83%, backroom replenishment lag at 2–4p
promo.liftBOGO crackers cannibalized Brand Y by 28%, net category +6%

Recommend: re-baseline Store 37 schedule against true peak, raise replen window to 1p, and review the BOGO before next cycle.

8 parallel queries 3 sources cited confidence 0.92
Show me how to fix the staffing mismatch.
You · 9:43 AM
Labor Agent · drafting schedule diff
Querying labor_scheduling
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. forecast
$48.2M
+4.2% WoW
Gross margin %
24.1%
−3.2pp
Fill rate, fresh
83.4%
−4.1pp
Shrink, West region
2.41%
+0.8pp
Revenue vs. forecast 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
sap_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
sap_inventory_shrinkageimport2m ago
sap_labor_schedulingimport14m ago
retail_inventory_weeklyimport1h ago
retail_google_ads_dailyimport1h ago
retail_meta_ads_dailyimport1h ago
retail_ga4_website_dailyimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
finance-read-shrinkagepermitModel::"inventory_shrinkage"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
region-west-onlypermitTenant::"acme"
Shrinkage on Oracle data, live product demo.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Shrinkage Detection needs sales audit and inventory positions at minimum. Oracle Retail carries both, at the grain the model needs. That is the whole integration story: no middleware, no staging warehouse, no custom extract.

What Ward has eyes on.

Ward reads Oracle rather than replacing it. Sales audit, inventory positions, allocation come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as findings. Your ERP is untouched.

Find the leak before it drains you. Ward runs the model continuously rather than on a reporting cycle, which is why a finding lands the morning the pattern starts instead of at the end of the period.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: read-only connection

    Ward sits on top of Oracle Retail with read-only credentials and begins ingesting sales audit and inventory positions. No config changes on your side. First daily cards arrive in two days.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: baselines

    Ward needs roughly two weeks of history per store to separate a real deviation from normal variance. During this window the insight cards are directionally right and the thresholds are still moving.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm

    Cards arrive each day and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.

How Ward connects to Oracle Retail

Ward integrates with Oracle Retail Merchandising (RMFCS), Oracle Retail Demand Forecasting, and Oracle Retail Analytics. Full stack visibility.

Setup: Ward reads from Oracle Retail via REST APIs or direct database views. Compatible with Oracle Cloud and on-premise deployments.

Data Ward reads from Oracle

Sales audit
Inventory positions
Allocation
Replenishment
Demand forecasts
Price management

Impact metrics with Oracle

Fill Rate
Allocation gaps caught
Replenishment outputs checked against actual shelf conditions per store.
Demand Forecast Accuracy
Accuracy gap closed
External signals enrich Oracle forecasts where they drift.
Markdown Waste
Slow movers caught early
Triggers shallower markdowns before inventory ages out.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Overstock freed up
Demand-aligned inventory releases locked working capital.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches Oracle data with: Sales audit data, Weather & events, Competitor pricing, Demographic data, Supplier scorecards

Frequently asked questions

Ward reads from Oracle Retail via REST APIs or direct database views. Compatible with Oracle Cloud and on-premise deployments. Data points include: Sales audit, Inventory positions, Allocation, Replenishment, Demand forecasts, Price management.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what shrinkage problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.

Step 1 of 3
What are your goals?
Step 2 of 3
About your operation
Step 3 of 3
Your contact info