Furniture · Fill Rate · Epicor · Head of Procurement

Head of Procurement: furniture fill rate, read from Epicor

A furniture Head of Procurement on Epicor should not be hunting for fill rate problems. Ward pulls forward them each day.

The full picture: furniture fill rate, Epicor data, Procurement decisions

In a Furniture Manufacturing & Retail fleet the job is 10,000+ SKUs throughout locations. ERP-locked production data, long lead times, and margin erosion you don't see until quarter-end. Ward connects your internal systems and surfaces what matters.

Merchandising wants Ward. You sign the contract. Ward pulls forward the inputs that change a procurement decision.

Here is fill rate monitoring in plain terms. Ward monitors on-shelf availability across your entire estate and flags stores or categories dropping below threshold.

Under the hood. Ward tracks expected vs actual on-shelf availability at the store-category level and escalates when fill rate drops below configurable thresholds.

Getting the data in. Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.

What it does

  • Estate-wide fill rate dashboard
  • Threshold-based alerting
  • Store-vs-estate benchmarking
  • Category-level drill-down
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Furniture @Finance: Margin Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why is upholstery margin down four points this quarter?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Margin Agent

I pulled upholstery cost of goods by BOM line against the last price file. Three quarters of the drop is material and freight, not discounting.

SignalFinding
bom_cost_actualsFoam and frame stock +9.2% since the March price file, never carried to list
freight.inboundInbound container cost +$412 per unit-equivalent on the Vietnam lane
channel.mixWholesale share up 6pp, and wholesale runs 11pp under DTC margin

Recommend: reprice the six affected SKUs at the next list cycle, quote the alternate foam vendor, and hold wholesale allocation flat until list catches up.

11 parallel queries 4 sources cited confidence 0.90
Show me the SKU-level margin waterfall.
You · 9:43 AM
Margin Agent · building waterfall
Querying bom_cost_actuals
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. forecast
$19.8M
+1.8% WoW
Gross margin, upholstery
42.1%
−4.1pp
Order-to-delivery, custom
14.2 wks
+1.9 wks
Aged inventory, 180+ days
$6.4M
+$1.2M
Revenue vs. forecast 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
epicor_production_stage_logimport2m ago
epicor_bom_cost_actualsimport2m ago
sap_inventory_snapshotimport14m ago
netsuite_sales_ordersimport1h ago
retail_showroom_posimport1h ago
retail_freight_inboundimport1h ago
retail_dealer_ordersimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
finance-read-defaultpermitModel::*
sourcing-read-bompermitModel::"bom_cost_actuals"
dealer-blockedforbidModel::"bom_*"
plant-read-productionpermitModel::"production_stage_log"
Fill Rate for Furniture on Epicor data, live product demo.

Why Fill Rate matters for Furniture retail

For furniture, fill rate is really order completeness at delivery. A bedroom set that arrives without its nightstand is not a partial win, it is a rescheduled delivery, a second freight leg, and a customer who waits weeks for the missing piece. Ward monitors complete-order fill rate at the set and delivery level, flagging the components that break a multi-piece order before the truck is loaded.

What Ward has eyes on.

The fill rate model runs daily, not on a reporting calendar. It flags the pattern, attributes what caused it, and attaches a recommended action before the number reaches a review deck.

Every one of your locations gets its own baseline. Ward monitors inventory carrying cost, order-to-delivery cycle, gross margin by channel against it and pulls forward only the deviations that hold up. The two that show up most in furniture retail are disconnected ERP, warehouse, and POS systems and custom/configurable SKUs that break standard reporting, and both are baseline problems before they are P&L problems.

Ward pulls from Epicor rather than replacing it. Sales orders, inventory, purchase orders come across on a read-only connection, get enriched with contextual data, and come back as insight cards. Your ERP is untouched.

At the metric level. Ward tracks complete-order and complete-set fill rate, component availability weighted by how many orders each component gates, and reschedule and split-delivery rates by DC. Because furniture ships as sets, the right metric is whether the whole order is deliverable, not whether any single SKU is in stock.

Signals · Order and set composition, component on-hand and in-transit, delivery schedules and reschedule logs, DC fulfillment records, and backorder status.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Fill Rate Monitoring needs sales orders and inventory at minimum. Epicor carries both, at the grain the model needs. That is the whole integration story: no middleware, no staging warehouse, no custom extract.

  • 01 A single low-availability component silently gates dozens of otherwise-complete orders, but never stands out in an item-level report.
  • 02 Fill rate is measured per SKU, hiding that a multi-piece set has a much lower complete-order availability than any individual component suggests.

Benchmarks. Complete-order fill on multi-piece furniture sets typically runs well below the item-level number; a chain reading 95% per SKU may sit near 82 to 88% on complete sets. Each incomplete set that triggers a second delivery leg commonly adds meaningful last-mile cost and pushes customer wait out by weeks.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: connect

    Read-only credentials to Epicor. Ward pulls from sales orders, inventory, purchase orders and starts building baselines. First cards land inside 48 hours, before baselines are stable, so you can see the shape of the output early.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: calibration

    Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm

    Findings arrive daily and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.

How Ward connects to Epicor

Ward integrates with Epicor for home improvement, furniture, and building supply retailers. Inventory, purchasing, production, and sales data power insight cards.

Setup: Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse.

Data Ward reads from Epicor

Sales orders
Inventory
Purchase orders
Customer accounts
Pricing tiers
Vendor performance

Impact metrics with Epicor

Seasonal Accuracy
Pre-buy timing sharpened
Weather and event signals calibrate seasonal positioning.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell patterns found
Project purchasing sequences reveal attachment opportunities.
Vendor Fill Rate
Degradation caught early
Fill rate drops flagged before shelf impact materializes.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Slow-movers identified
Demand-aligned ordering frees capital tied in dead stock.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches Epicor data with: Sales orders, Weather & events, Contractor/Pro data, Competitor pricing, Vendor scorecards

Merchandising wants Ward. You sign the contract.

Pain points
  • ×Business sponsor saw the demo. You have a week to vet a vendor you didn't pick
  • ×AI vendors price by seats and tokens. Total cost is unknowable until invoice three
  • ×Multi-year commits with auto-renew. No exit if the pilot stalls
  • ×Renewals come back 30% higher, with no room to push back and no benchmark to cite
  • ×Security and DPA reviews start after the team has already committed
How Ward helps
  • MSA, DPA, SOC 2 Type II underway, and architecture review available before signature
  • Month-to-month contracts. No multi-year lock-in. No auto-renew traps
  • Transparent pricing set by scope and store count
  • 14-day insight guarantee. If Ward doesn't deliver, month two is on us
  • AI strategy, orchestration and reporting-layer work in enterprise grocery at nine-figure revenue. Reference calls available before signature

Enterprise SaaS spend grew 18% YoY. 53% of subscriptions are underused or duplicative. Source: Gartner

Furniture KPI impact

Inventory Carrying Cost
Aged stock flagged
Slow-moving SKUs identified before carrying costs compound.
Order-to-Delivery Cycle
Bottleneck visibility
Cycle time tracked by production stage against baselines.
Gross Margin
Real-time by channel
Material cost drift detected the week it starts.
Stockout Frequency
Advance warning
POS and e-commerce signals feed back into production.

Frequently asked questions

Ward monitors on-shelf availability across your entire estate and flags stores or categories dropping below threshold. For Furniture retail specifically, Ward monitors 10,000+ SKUs across your locations and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.

Ward tracks Inventory carrying cost, Order-to-delivery cycle, Gross margin by channel, Raw material cost variance, Custom order cycle time at the store-category level. Ward tracks expected vs actual on-shelf availability at the store-category level and escalates when fill rate drops below configurable thresholds.

Ward connects via Epicor REST API. Compatible with Epicor Prophet 21 and Epicor Eclipse. Data points include: Sales orders, Inventory, Purchase orders, Customer accounts, Pricing tiers, Vendor performance.

Yes. Ward reads Epicor data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Furniture-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Merchandising wants Ward. You sign the contract. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: MSA, DPA, SOC 2 Type II underway, and architecture review available before signature. Month-to-month contracts. No multi-year lock-in. No auto-renew traps. Transparent pricing set by scope and store count.

Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Inventory carrying cost, Order-to-delivery cycle, Gross margin by channel, tailored for Procurement decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.

Ward tracks complete-order and complete-set fill rate, component availability weighted by how many orders each component gates, and reschedule and split-delivery rates by DC. Because furniture ships as sets, the right metric is whether the whole order is deliverable, not whether any single SKU is in stock.

Estate-level item fill rate reads a healthy 95%, but delivery reschedules are climbing. Ward measures fill at the order-and-set level and shows that multi-piece bedroom and dining sets are shipping incomplete because one component, usually a backordered nightstand or a specific chair, is missing. A single low-availability component fails the whole order. Ward flags the at-risk sets before dispatch and recommends holding for completion or splitting the delivery, cutting the second-truck cost and the customer wait.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Furniture fill rate problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.

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