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VP Merchandising: home assortment, read from Microsoft Power BI

Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets. Ward spots home assortment movement in your Power BI data while it is still fixable, with what caused it and a recommended action attached.

Assortment Planning for Home on Power BI, scoped to merchandising

Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets. Ward brings up the signals that change a merchandising decision.

Assortment Planning is a card type Ward runs continuously. Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate.

For Home Improvement retailers, that means tracking 50,000+ SKUs over stores. Project-based purchasing, long-tail SKUs, and seasonal volatility. Ward manages the complexity of 50,000+ SKU environments with ease.

How Ward hands you Assortment insight cards: Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.

Getting the data in. Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched.

Capabilities

  • SKU rationalization recommendations
  • Whitespace opportunity detection
  • Planogram optimization inputs
  • Store cluster segmentation
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Home @Merchandising: Seasonal Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did the spring mulch pre-build miss in the Southeast?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled the spring pre-build against the last three seasons and the weather signal for the 22 Southeast stores.

SignalFinding
seasonal_prebuildMulch on-hand hit 61% of plan the week temps broke 70°F
dc_pushDC push started 9 days after the first-warm-week trigger, LY it was 2
attach.projectSoil and edging attach fell 18% at stores that gapped on mulch

Recommend: tie the push trigger to the 10-day forecast instead of the calendar week, pre-position two truckloads at the 8 stores that gapped, and re-set the attach endcap.

9 parallel queries 4 sources cited confidence 0.88
Which stores get the pre-position first?
You · 9:43 AM
Supply Chain Agent · ranking stores
Querying seasonal_prebuild
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. plan
$57.3M
+2.9% WoW
Gross margin, seasonal
31.2%
−2.4pp
Mulch on-hand vs plan
61.4%
−18pp
Special order cycle time
11.6 d
+3.1 days
Revenue vs. plan 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
epicor_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
epicor_special_ordersimport2m ago
netsuite_inventory_snapshotimport14m ago
retail_seasonal_prebuildimport1h ago
retail_sku_velocityimport1h ago
retail_pro_account_salesimport1h ago
retail_weather_dailyimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
pro-team-read-accountspermitModel::"pro_account_sales"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
supply-read-orderspermitModel::"special_orders"
Assortment for Home on Power BI data, live product demo.

Why Assortment matters for Home retail

The top 2,000 SKUs generate the bulk of revenue, but the remaining 48,000 are what makes you a project destination. Drop a niche fitting and you lose the entire project basket. Ward identifies which tail SKUs are project-basket anchors worth keeping and which are truly dead weight that should be rationalized.

What Ward has eyes on.

The assortment model runs each day, not on a reporting calendar. It detects the pattern, accounts for root cause, and attaches the next step before the number reaches a review deck.

Every one of your stores gets its own baseline. Ward tracks project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn against it and pulls forward only the deviations that hold up. The two that show up most in home retail are project basket identification and seasonal pre-positioning, and both are baseline problems before they are P&L problems.

The connection to Microsoft Power BI is read-only and runs on your schedule. Ward reads power BI REST API datasets, underlying SQL/Azure data, and the rest of the feed, then cross-references it with external context your BI does not carry: weather, local events, competitor pricing.

At the metric level. Ward tracks long-tail project basket affinity, Pro vs DIY assortment dependency, seasonal SKU activation cycles, and revenue-per-linear-foot by department and planogram section.

Signals · POS at SKU-basket grain over 18+ months, Pro account purchase tagging, seasonal activation history, planogram space allocation, and supplier minimum-order constraints.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Microsoft Power BI was built for transactions, not for merchandising decisions. The data is right there and it is in the wrong shape. Ward reads power BI REST API datasets and underlying SQL/Azure data and rewrites them as a decision.

  • 01 Seasonal activation cycles mean a SKU "dead" for 9 months can be critical for 3; chain-wide 90-day velocity cuts kill seasonal anchors prematurely.
  • 02 SKU rationalization based on standalone velocity destroys project-basket anchors and drives customers to competitors for the entire job, net assortment economics turn negative.

Benchmarks. Home improvement long-tail SKUs (the bottom 60-70% of catalog by velocity) typically generate 8-15% of standalone revenue but anchor 25-35% of project basket value. Pro customers depend disproportionately on the tail, losing tail items typically costs 2-4x the standalone revenue impact in Pro retention.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: read-only connection

    Ward sits on top of Microsoft Power BI with read-only credentials and begins ingesting power BI REST API datasets and underlying SQL/Azure data. No config changes on your side. First daily cards arrive in two days.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: calibration

    Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: steady state

    Ward delivers findings daily, each with the driver and a recommended action. Volume settles at a level a single person can read over coffee. The measure of success is not how many daily cards arrive, it is how many get acted on.

How Ward connects to Microsoft Power BI

Ward sits alongside Power BI. Your dashboards visualize. Ward detects and explains what changed. No dashboard login needed for your morning brief.

Setup: Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched.

Data Ward reads from Power BI

Power BI REST API datasets
Underlying SQL/Azure data
Dataflow outputs

Impact metrics with Power BI

Time to Insight
Push, not pull
Insight cards delivered without waiting for someone to look.
Anomaly Detection
Between-refresh coverage
Issues surfaced before the next scheduled Power BI review.
Decision Velocity
Cause analysis included
No drill-down investigation; cards carry root cause context.
Report Efficiency
Ad-hoc requests reduced
Proactive cards answer questions before analysts get asked.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches Power BI data with: Power BI datasets, Underlying SQL/Azure data, Weather & events, Demographics, Custom feeds

Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets.

Pain points
  • ×Promo planning still runs off last year's playbook
  • ×Assortment reviews happen quarterly when they should happen daily
  • ×Price changes chase the market a week behind it
  • ×No visibility into true cannibalization across categories
  • ×Vendor negotiations lack real-time sell-through evidence
How Ward helps
  • Insight cards flag promo cannibalization the day it happens
  • Assortment gaps and whitespace opportunities surface automatically
  • Price elasticity shifts detected before margin erosion compounds
  • Category-level performance cards replace manual spreadsheet reviews
  • Vendor scorecards generated from actual fill rate and quality data

Retailers lose an estimated $300B+ annually to suboptimal assortment and promotional decisions. Source: McKinsey & Company

Home KPI impact

Seasonal Accuracy
Weather + event driven
Pre-positioning adjusted for peak season signals.
Long-Tail Turn
Dead weight separated
Which tail SKUs serve project needs vs sit idle.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell surfaced
Project purchasing patterns drive attachment.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Capital freed
Demand forecasting reduces slow-moving overstock.

Frequently asked questions

Ward analyzes sell-through by store cluster to recommend which SKUs to add, drop, or reallocate. For Home retail specifically, Ward monitors 50,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.

Ward tracks Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, Pro customer share, Attachment rate at the store-category level. Ward clusters stores by demographic, traffic, and sales patterns, then measures SKU performance against cluster benchmarks.

Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched. Data points include: Power BI REST API datasets, Underlying SQL/Azure data, Dataflow outputs.

Yes. Ward reads Power BI data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Home-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Your category managers are drowning in spreadsheets. Ward solves this with automated insight cards: Insight cards flag promo cannibalization the day it happens. Assortment gaps and whitespace opportunities surface automatically. Price elasticity shifts detected before margin erosion compounds.

Ward delivers daily insight cards covering Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, tailored for Merchandising decision-making. Each card includes what changed, why it matters, and what to do next.

Ward tracks long-tail project basket affinity, Pro vs DIY assortment dependency, seasonal SKU activation cycles, and revenue-per-linear-foot by department and planogram section.

Plumbing carries thousands of SKUs, hundreds with zero sales in 90 days. Ward's project basket analysis reveals that many of those "dead" SKUs appear alongside high-velocity project items, a specialty elbow fitting with minimal standalone sales is still critical to a complete project basket. Deleting it sends the customer to a competitor for the entire job. Ward separates true orphaned SKUs from project-basket anchors and recommends cutting only the former.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Home assortment problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

Tell us about your operation. We’ll show you the problems Ward catches, and the ones your current tools miss.

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