Home · Fill Rate · Power BI

Home fill rate, read from Microsoft Power BI

Your Power BI data already carries the fill rate indicator. Ward ingests it, explains what caused it, and attaches a recommended move.

Fill Rate Monitoring for Home Improvement, running on Power BI

Fill Rate Monitoring, in one sentence. Ward monitors on-shelf availability across your entire estate and flags stores or categories dropping below threshold.

Applied to Home Improvement, the surface area is 50,000+ SKUs over stores. Project-based purchasing, long-tail SKUs, and seasonal volatility. Ward manages the complexity of 50,000+ SKU environments with ease.

How it runs. Ward tracks expected vs actual on-shelf availability at the store-category level and escalates when fill rate drops below configurable thresholds.

The connection itself. Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched.

The short list

  • Threshold-based alerting
  • Store-vs-estate benchmarking
  • Category-level drill-down
  • Estate-wide fill rate dashboard
app.getward.ai Live demo
Acme Home @Merchandising: Seasonal Analyst claude-sonnet default
A

Chat

Ask anything. Ward routes to the right agent and returns cited answers.

Why did the spring mulch pre-build miss in the Southeast?
You · 9:42 AM
Schema Scout · routed to Merchandising Agent

I pulled the spring pre-build against the last three seasons and the weather signal for the 22 Southeast stores.

SignalFinding
seasonal_prebuildMulch on-hand hit 61% of plan the week temps broke 70°F
dc_pushDC push started 9 days after the first-warm-week trigger, LY it was 2
attach.projectSoil and edging attach fell 18% at stores that gapped on mulch

Recommend: tie the push trigger to the 10-day forecast instead of the calendar week, pre-position two truckloads at the 8 stores that gapped, and re-set the attach endcap.

9 parallel queries 4 sources cited confidence 0.88
Which stores get the pre-position first?
You · 9:43 AM
Supply Chain Agent · ranking stores
Querying seasonal_prebuild
Ask anything, Ward routes to the right agent. Cmd+K

Reporting

Pinned views built from saved data-lake queries. Every number re-derivable from its SQL.

7d13w52w
Revenue vs. plan
$57.3M
+2.9% WoW
Gross margin, seasonal
31.2%
−2.4pp
Mulch on-hand vs plan
61.4%
−18pp
Special order cycle time
11.6 d
+3.1 days
Revenue vs. plan 13 weeks actual, 6 weeks forecast, 80% interval
Actual Forecast 80% interval
% of plan 106 94 100 forecast → W−13 W−5 today +6wk
Holt-Winters + weather regressor MAPE 4.1% at 4wk Backtested 24 months Crosses plan in 3 weeks
Forecast error by horizon MAPE, 24-month backtest
1wk 2.1%
2wk 3.0%
4wk 4.1%
8wk 6.3%
13wk 8.9%
Accuracy bar for promo decisions: ≤5% at 4wk
Models in production Every forecast ships a model card
ModelHorizonMAPE
holt_winters4wk4.1%
arima_sarimax13wk8.9%
gbm_demand1wk2.1%
bayes_hiernew store11.4%

Sources

Connect external systems to the data lake.

NameTypeLast sync
epicor_pos_transactionsimport2m ago
epicor_special_ordersimport2m ago
netsuite_inventory_snapshotimport14m ago
retail_seasonal_prebuildimport1h ago
retail_sku_velocityimport1h ago
retail_pro_account_salesimport1h ago
retail_weather_dailyimport1h ago

Policies

Browse and manage Cedar access policies for your tenant.

TLS 1.3 AES-256 Read-only SOC 2 II
Policy IDEffectResources
merch-read-defaultpermitModel::*
pro-team-read-accountspermitModel::"pro_account_sales"
vendor-blockedforbidModel::"labor_*"
supply-read-orderspermitModel::"special_orders"
Fill Rate for Home on Power BI data, live product demo.

Why Fill Rate matters for Home retail

A store can report 96% fill rate while missing the one fastener that completes every deck project basket. Ward monitors fill rate through a project-basket lens, flagging when project-critical items drop below threshold even if aggregate availability looks healthy.

What Ward has eyes on.

The fill rate model runs on a daily cycle, not on a reporting calendar. It spots the pattern, explains the cause, and attaches a recommended move before the number reaches a review deck.

Coverage is store by store, category by category. Ward keeps a running read on project basket value, seasonal accuracy, long-tail turn over 50,000+ SKUs and compares each store against its own baseline, not against the chain. That is the difference between knowing the estate is fine and knowing which seven stores are not.

Ward reads power BI REST API datasets, underlying SQL/Azure data, dataflow outputs from Microsoft Power BI on a read-only connection. Nothing is written back, and your BI configuration does not change. Power BI stays the system of record.

At the metric level. Ward tracks project-basket completion rates, department availability with project-dependency weighting, seasonal merchandise positioning timing, and Pro customer order-fill rates, since Pros expect near-perfect availability and defect immediately on gaps.

Signals · POS at SKU-store-day with basket linkage, current inventory positions, Pro account order history, planogram and endcap positions, and project basket affinity graph.

Why this combination
is its own problem.

Most fill rate projects stall at data access. This one does not, because Power BI already exposes power BI REST API datasets, underlying SQL/Azure data, dataflow outputs through an API Ward reads directly.

  • 01 Fill rate measured at the SKU level masks project-basket completion; a deck-project basket that needs 12 SKUs has a much lower complete-basket availability than any individual SKU's availability suggests.
  • 02 Endcap and seasonal positioning is tracked separately from fill rate, but the customer experience is shaped by both, a fully-stocked product hidden in a non-seasonal aisle still functions like a stockout.

Benchmarks. Home improvement project-basket completion: healthy chains run 88-94% on the top-100 project baskets; below 80% on a top basket cuts category revenue 3-7% over the affected weeks. Pro customer fill rate matters disproportionately, Pros typically defect after 2-3 stockouts on flagged SKUs.

What the first 90 days
actually look like.

  1. 01

    Week 1: read-only connection

    Ward sits on top of Microsoft Power BI with read-only credentials and begins ingesting power BI REST API datasets and underlying SQL/Azure data. No config changes on your side. First findings arrive in two days.

  2. 02

    Weeks 2 to 3: calibration

    Baselines stabilize per store and per category. Ward stops flagging normal variance and starts flagging exceptions. This is the window where the false positive rate drops sharply.

  3. 03

    Weeks 4 to 12: operating rhythm

    Findings arrive each day and get triaged like any other queue. Most teams find the volume settles into something one person clears in ten minutes. What matters is the action rate, not the alert count.

How Ward connects to Microsoft Power BI

Ward sits alongside Power BI. Your dashboards visualize. Ward detects and explains what changed. No dashboard login needed for your morning brief.

Setup: Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched.

Data Ward reads from Power BI

Power BI REST API datasets
Underlying SQL/Azure data
Dataflow outputs

Impact metrics with Power BI

Time to Insight
Push, not pull
Insight cards delivered without waiting for someone to look.
Anomaly Detection
Between-refresh coverage
Issues surfaced before the next scheduled Power BI review.
Decision Velocity
Cause analysis included
No drill-down investigation; cards carry root cause context.
Report Efficiency
Ad-hoc requests reduced
Proactive cards answer questions before analysts get asked.

Data lake enrichment

Ward enriches Power BI data with: Power BI datasets, Underlying SQL/Azure data, Weather & events, Demographics, Custom feeds

Home KPI impact

Seasonal Accuracy
Weather + event driven
Pre-positioning adjusted for peak season signals.
Long-Tail Turn
Dead weight separated
Which tail SKUs serve project needs vs sit idle.
Project Basket Value
Cross-sell surfaced
Project purchasing patterns drive attachment.
Inventory Carrying Cost
Capital freed
Demand forecasting reduces slow-moving overstock.

Frequently asked questions

Ward monitors on-shelf availability across your entire estate and flags stores or categories dropping below threshold. For Home retail specifically, Ward monitors 50,000+ SKUs across your stores and delivers automated insight cards with root cause analysis and recommended actions.

Ward tracks Project basket value, Seasonal accuracy, Long-tail turn, Pro customer share, Attachment rate at the store-category level. Ward tracks expected vs actual on-shelf availability at the store-category level and escalates when fill rate drops below configurable thresholds.

Ward connects to the same data sources Power BI uses. Or reads Power BI datasets via REST API. Your reports stay untouched. Data points include: Power BI REST API datasets, Underlying SQL/Azure data, Dataflow outputs.

Yes. Ward reads Power BI data and combines it with contextual signals (weather, events, demographics) to generate Home-specific insight cards. No custom development required.

Ward tracks project-basket completion rates, department availability with project-dependency weighting, seasonal merchandise positioning timing, and Pro customer order-fill rates, since Pros expect near-perfect availability and defect immediately on gaps.

Estate-wide fill rate looks healthy, but Ward's project-basket analysis shows the "deck build" basket has far lower complete-basket availability because a single specialty fastener is out of stock. A standard fill rate report would bury this item among 50,000 others. Ward surfaces it through basket completion analysis, and the supply chain team expedites the item to restore project-level availability within days.

First insight cards arrive within 48 hours of data connection. Ward needs approximately 2 weeks to establish stable baselines for your specific operation.

No. Ward sits on top of your existing stack. It is the proactive intelligence layer that watches your data continuously and delivers insight cards, so your team acts on findings instead of hunting for them.

See what Home fill rate problems Ward catches.

Root causes, not just alerts. See it on your data.

Read-only to start · your LLM keys · SOC 2 Type II underway · or book a call directly

Find out what your data has been hiding.

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